Monza’s side, with more routes to score than the visitors, recovered quickly from Salerno’s error and scored twice to move further ahead of Empoli at the top of the table.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up to an hour before kick-off, shows that the most likely outcome of this match is a Monza win with a probability of 61.17%. Empoli has a 21.6% chance of a draw and a 17.21% chance of a win.
The most likely score for Monza to win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scores for this result are 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The most likely score is 1-1 (10.27%), while the probability of Empoli winning is 0-1 (5.33%). The predicted probability of the actual score being 0-0 is 5.8%.
